Cleveland Indians vs. Philadelphia Phillies
MLB Pick: Phillies +120 odds (April 30th 2016)
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Rickenbach MLB *1* Saturday Free Pick Philadelphia Phillies Money Line +120 vs Cleveland @ 7:05 PM ET – The Phillies have won 4 straight and 7 of their last 8. They are starting to make believers out of even their biggest doubters. Of course they continue to get no respect from the odds makers and the betting markets because of the ugly downhill slide they have been in over the last few seasons. The fact is that Philly has turned things around and there is a brand new attitude on this team. Winning breeds success and that is exactly what is happening with the Phillies. Cleveland is favored here despite being off to their typical slow April start as they are now 27-41 the past 3 Aprils combined. The Phillies are 9-5 in night games this season and they face Trevor Bauer who has been hit at a .289 clip as a reliever this season. The only reason he’s getting this start is because of the injury to Carlos Carrasco. As for the Phils, they send Jerad Eickhoff to the mound. He has a fantastic curveball that finally got touched up (by the Brewers) in his most recent start and I fully expect him to bounce back here. He is still holding hitters to a .222 batting average so far in his young career and has a solid 3.11 ERA to show for it. He has struggled in day games in his career but has been masterful in night games with a 1.83 ERA in 8 career starts under the lights. Eickhoff has averaged nearly 7 innings per start and the Phillies bullpen has turned things around since the ugly start to the season. Not many people realize this but the Phils started the season 0-4 and have gone 13-6 ever since! They should not be a home dog here and offering great line value. Consider a small play on the Philadelphia Phillies Money Line as it is my Free Pick for Saturday. Best of luck, Scott
Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Washington Capitals
NHL Pick: Washington -118 odds (April 30th 2016)
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At 8:05 pm, our complimentary selection is on the Washington Capitals over the Pittsburgh Penguins. As predicted, the difference in the game one win for the Caps here at Verizon Center was in the men between the pipes. Likely Vezina Trophy winner Braden Holtby out-played rookie Matt Murray despite the fact that the Pens out-shot the Caps by a 45-35 margin. The key now for game two will be how the 21-year-old reacts tonight in game two after losing his first-ever overtime playoff game. No doubt the Verizon Center faithful decked out in Red will be all over Murray verbally tonight from the opening face-off. TJ Oshie – in his first post-season with the Caps – was the star for the home team, notching a hat trick including the unassisted game winner a little more than halfway through the extra stanza. This is exactly why the Caps acquired Oshie in the offseason from the Blues – he gives them some big-time playoff experience and the Caps (and their fans) love his aggressive style of play. With the Caps’ dramatic victory in game one, the home team is now 3-1 in the last four meetings. Take Washington. As always, good luck…Al McMordie. And don’t miss any of my red-hot winners here at Covers.com, as I’m 25-15 my last 40, and 258-179 my last 437. Join for a week or month right now to get all of my award-winning selections!
Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles
MLB Betting Prediction: Orioles -123 odds (April 28th 2016)
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The White Sox come into this game having won 6 straight, sweeping the Rangers at home and Blue Jays on the road. I believe that has created some great value here on the Orioles as a relatively small home favorite.
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Chicago is sitting at 16-6 right now thanks to their pitching and those starters have a 1.70 ERA over the last nine games. Their good fortune on the mound hasn’t come when today’s starter John Danks is on the rubber. Danks is 0-3 with a 6.23 ERA and 1.616 WHIP. He allowed just 2 runs in 6 innings in his last start at home, but was fortunate to do so giving up 5 hits and 5 walks with just 2 strikeouts. Last year Danks was a mere 3-10 with a 5.61 ERA in 15 road starts and was far from impressive in his only road start of 2016, giving up 5 runs on 6 hits and 3 walks in 6 1/3 innings of a 2-7 loss at Tampa Bay.
Chicago is 1-5 in Danks’ last 6 road starts against a team with a winning record and 0-6 in his last 6 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. Baltimore is 17-5 in their last 22 home games overall and 5-1 in their last 6 at home against a team that’s won more than 60% of their road games. Take the Orioles!
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Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
MLB Baseball Pick: Dodgers -121 odds (April 28th 2016)
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Fernandez can be had away from Marlins Park & losing FOUR in a row…My free play is on the LA Lakers at 10:10 ET.
Kenta Maeda, the 28-year-old native of Osaka, has had remarkable start to his first season in the major leagues, opening with four straight quality starts. The history book reveals that 76 pitchers have opened their careers with four straight quality starts (since 1913) but Maeda ranks as the ONLY one to allow just one ER in that four-game span. He’s worked at least six innings in each of his four outings with that lone ER coming on a solo HR by San Francisco’s Joe Panik back on April 17 .
Some predicted that he would fall victim to the high altitude of Coors Field but he limited Colorado to three hits while striking out eight over 6.1 scoreless innings of a 4-1 LA win last Saturday. Maeda is 3-0 with an 0.36 ERA and 0.84 WHIP, as opponents are batting just .189 with a .240 on-base percentage against him. He has had excellent command of his pitches, issuing only five walks while striking out 23 in 25.1 innings.
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The bad news is, that Miami has limited LA to a measly five runs, 15 hits and an 0-for-13 showing with runners in scoring position over three games to take its first series at Chavez Ravine since 2010. The Dodgers will take the field tonight looking to avoid being swept at home by the surging Marlins for the first time-ever and it’s even more of a bitter pill to swallow as Miami is led by Don Mattingly, who managed LA from 2011 through 2015.
Mattingly will hand the ball to Jose Fernandez (1-2, 4.37 ERA), who looks to bounce back from a rough outing at San Francisco this past Saturday (he allowed four ERs on seven hits and three walks in six innings). The 23-year-old Cuban has been a different pitcher on the road during his brief career, going 5-10 with a 3.81 ERA as opposed to 18-1 with a 1.61 ERA at home. Los Angeles has yet to defeat Fernandez, who is 2-0 with a 2.84 ERA in three outings (Marlins are 3-0).
As noted, Fernandez can be had away from Marlins Park and losing FOUR in a row at home to the Marlins (who entered the series just 6-11 to open the 2016 season), is “NOT an option.” Maeda leads the way as the Dodgers avoid the dreaded home sweep.