Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants
Betting Pick: San Francisco -154 odds (July 28th 2014)
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After getting swept at home by the Dodgers over the weekend, I think San Francisco will bounce back with a victory tonight. The visiting Pirates will send journeyman starter Vance Worley (3-1, 3.10 ERA) to hill; Worley has pitched well since joining Pittsburgh but should have his hands full with a motivated Giants lineup. Note that Worley holds a pedestrian 4.09 ERA in 22 innings pitched versus San Fran, giving up six earned runs over six innings his last start versus it. The Giants counter with Madison Bumgarner (12-7, 3.19 ERA) to try and get a much needed win; the southpaw is coming off a strong start against the Phillies in which he went eight scoreless for the victory (note that Mad Bum has won three straight starts overall). And Bumgarner has always fared well against the Pirates, he has strong 1.71 ERA over three starts despite a 1-2 record. Pittsburgh played in Colorado just last night while San Francisco will be playing the fourth game of a six game home stand, the scheduling definitely plays into our favor. Consider laying it on the Giants with Bumgarner.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox
MLB Prediction: Over 8.5 -110 odds (July 28th 2014)
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The Blue Jays bats carried them to a series victory in the Bronx, putting an end to a 17 game losing streak in New York. They could get a boost tonight if Adam Lind is able to return from the DL. Lind is hitting .348 liftetime versus Clay Buchholz.
R.A. Dickey will toe the slab for the visitors, and he’s coming off a win over these Red Sox in his last start. Dickey (8-10, 4.04 ERA) was knocked around pretty good in that game though, surrendering four runs on nine hits, including a home run in a 6-4 win at Rogers Center. He has had his struggles on the road this season, with a record of 2-7, 3.77 ERA.
Buchholz (5-6, 5.50 ERA) was tagged for five runs on six hits and four walks over six innings opposite Dickey last week. He’s surrendered eight runs on 15 hits over 13 innings in his last two starts at Fenway. He was also rocked for five runs on nine hits in just 4 2/3 innings in his last home start versus Toronto, back in May.
The Jays seen at least eight runs scored in eight straight overall, and the total has gone over at a rate of 6-0-1 in their last seven trips to Boston.