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Baseball Picks: May 18th 2012
Atlanta Braves vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Pick: Atlanta Braves +122
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On Friday the MLB free Unit rated Dog is on the Atlanta Braves. Game 967 at 7:10 Eastern. The Braves are a regular 3 unit play here tonight. Atlanta has surged into first place after a lethargic start. Tonight they are the beneficiaries of a solid system that plays against home favorites like Tampa Bay that are off a home favored loss while scoring 4 or less runs on 5 or more hits, vs an opponent like the Braves that are off a home favored win by 2 or more runs and scored 5 or more runs on 10+ hits with 5 or more men left on base. These home favorites are just 4-12. Atlanta has won 6 of 9 in Tampa Bay in the series and are a perfect 5-0 on Fridays. In games vs winning teams is where the Braves have shined winning 13 of 18 vs good teams. Tonight they have T. Hanson making the start and he has a better road era at 2.57 than his counter part J. Shields does at home with a 3.79 era. Hanson has won 5 of his 6 road starts in the Month of May. In contrast J. Shields has lost 4 of 5 in home May starts. Hanson has one start vs the Rays and it was a dandy as he went 7 innings allowing no runs on 3 hits. With the Braves having won 7 of the last 8 vs AL East teams we will look their way tonight. On Friday there are 3 Big plays up led by the Inter League Total of the Month with a Perfect system that averages 14 runs, we also have a Big Blowout system that is winning by 4 runs per game and an NBA Power system side that pertains to round 2 and is backed with Historical Angles that date to the very beginning of the NBA Playoffs. NBA is on a 7-1 run and MLB on a 12-4 run. Jump on now and start the weekend big. For the MLB play take Atlanta for 3 units or a regular play as your free play tonight. -Rob Vinciletti

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros
Prediction: Milwaukee Brewers -141 odds (May 17th 2012)

With a day off on Wednesday in MLB we look to get back on a hot streak as we are still up big on the season. Thursday we have a total of nine pitchers with ERA’s under 3.00 over their last three starts combined and a total of five pitchers with ERA’s over 6.00 over their last three combined starts. There was one match up that stuck out and we marked them down as our POD.

Mark the Brewers Down! ( -140 2.5* FREE PLAY )
For whatever reason Shaun Marcum has loved to pitch on the road as he has an ERA of 3.20 over the last three years on the road. That’s much better than his home record and he’s back at it again with a 2.77 ERA this year. He’s been great of late posting a 1.80 ERA, but the Brewers lost 2 of 3. He should be motivated to keep that up so he can get a W and the Astros are the team to do it against. He’s got a 1.80 ERA over 3 starts vs. the Astros who carry just a .637 OPS in 73 AB vs. Marcum. A few weeks ago I’d be on the Astros, but they are starting to come back to earth as they are now 24th with a .686 OPS vs. RHP while the Brewers are 8th with a .737 OPS vs. LHP.

The Brewers are 8th and they face J.A. Happ who they have dominated. Happ and the Astros are 10-30 in their last 40 with Happ on the mound. He’s really not the player they thought he’d be when they traded Roy Oswalt for him. Happ has a 5.40 ERA at home right now and the Brewers have a 1.139 OPS over 80 AB in their careers vs. Happ who carries a 6.08 ERA over the last three years vs. the Brewers. Brewers are 18-7 in their last 25 after Wednesday’s loss to the Astros and are 47-17 in their last 64 vs. a losing team. Mark down the Brewers as a victory for Thursday.

Notable Hot Starters:
R.A. Dickey (2-1, 1.15 WHIP, 2.70 ERA), Matt Cain (2-1, 0.90 WHIP, 2.14 ERA), James McDonals (2-1, 1.05 WHIP, 2.05 ERA), Brandon Beachy (2-1, 0.93 WHIP, 2.33 ERA), Edinson Volquez (3-0, 1.20 WHIP, 1.47 ERA), Doug Fister (1-2, 0.90 WHIP, 0.54 ERA), Brandon McCarthy (3-0, 0.97 WHIP, 1.31 EAR), Chris Sale (1-2, 1.00 WHIP, 2.84 ERA)

Cold Starter Of The Day:
On Thursday we have an ice cold starter that makes for an interesting match up in Luke Hochevar of the Royals. First of the Royals have been red hot since their cold start and Hochevar needs to get with the program. Against the Orioles he could do just that as he has great numbers vs. them in 96 combined at bats the Orioles have a .198 average and .590 OPS.

Notable Cold Starters:
J.A. Happ (1-2, 1.59 WHIP, 7.16 ERA), Matt Moore (1-2, 1.86 WHIP, 6.43 ERA), Matt Harrison (1-2, 1.41 WHIP, 8.27 ERA), Chris Volstad (0-3, 1.71 WHIP, 7.94 ERA)

Baseball Picks: May 17th 2012
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves
Pick: Under 7.5 -110 odds
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Ben Burns is officially ON FIRE. Off a PERFECT Tuesday, Burns was PERFECT (3-0) AGAIN yesterday, including EASY WINNERS w/ the Lakers AND the “under” in the same game. Ben is now a SWEET 7-1 this week & a SIZZLING 16-5 the L6 days. His NBA is on a 13-4 ROLL (19-8 L27) & he’s also WON 6 IN ROW on the diamond!

Yesterday’s game finished well above the total, producing a dozen combined runs. I expect much better pitching in the finale of this 2-game set.

Beachy has been outstanding for the Braves. Last time out, he allowed one run on just two hits, through six innings. For the season, he’s 4-1 with a superb 1.60 ERA and 0.956 WHIP. In seven starts, he’s only allowed a single home run.

Beachy has been at his best at home too. In two starts here, he has a 1.29 ERA and 0.714 WHIP.

Nolasco wasn’t at his best last time out. However, he’s still 4-1 with a solid 3.65 ERA on the season. Plus, he’s been at his best on the road. In four starts away from Miami, he’s 3-0 with a 2.15 ERA and 0.886 WHIP, averaging greater than seven innings per start. Get more baseball picks for May 17th 2012 from Ben Burns at Accuwager.com

Even with yesterday’s game topping the total, the Marlins have still seen 14 of their 21 road games finish beneath the number. Consider the Under.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros
Pick: Houston Astros -113 odds (May 16th 2012)

The Astros hold the edge on the mound tonight with Bud Norris. The right-hander is 3-1 (6-1 on the money line) with an ERA of 3.95 this season and 1-0 (3-0 on the money line) with an ERA of 2.29 at home. Milwaukee’s Randy Wolf is 2-3 (3-4 on the money line) with an ERA of 5.64 and 1-1 (1-2 on the money line) with an ERA of 8.81 on the road. The Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150. The Brewers are 4-11 in their last 15 road games. Take Houston.

Dave is the NO. 1 RANKED NBA HANDICAPPER this season with an AMAZING 135-88 (61%) record that has profited $1,000/game bettors $40,360! With Tuesday’s 7* Heavy Hitter winner on the Spurs -11.5 (by 16 over the Clippers), his NBA playoff picks improved to a RED HOT 8-2 the L9 days. He also improved to a DOMINANT 10-2 his L12 NBA 7* Top Plays! Don’t miss his 7* NBA Playoffs *HEAVY HITTER*! It’s supported by a 100% ATS TREND that hasn’t lost this season!

No. 2 Ranked Handicapper in 2012 ($1,000/game bettors up $51,360)! Dave is a DOMINANT 19-7 his L26 overall picks! He’s also an AWESOME 73-38 (66%) on the bases dating back to last season! He shakes off Tuesday’s disappointing loss on the Dodgers and bounces back like a true champ with his 6* Wednesday MLB *CA$H COW*! The STRONGEST play in Wednesday’s MLB lineup is backed by 7 TRENDS in his game report that are RIGHT ON THE MONEY!

Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Pick: Tampa Bay Rays -137 odds (May 16th 2012)

On Wednesday the MLB Free system play is on the Tampa Bay Rays. Tampa has won 25 of 28 times as a favorite of -120 or more if they lost their starters last appearance by 1 run and scored 2 or more runs, providing the starter is on normal 4-5 day rest. Tampa has Hellickson going anf his 1.42 home era is far better than that of Boston starter Buchholz and his 11.58 road era. They rays are a perfect 6-0 at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 an have won 18 of the last 25 vs right handed pitchers. They also have a 1.81 home bullpen era. Boston has lost 8 of 12 in division play and will likely have their win streak snapped tonight. Take Tampa. On Wednesday we have a trio of Plays including the highest rated NBA Western Conference play with 7 Powerful systems and a Triple system side in the early game and 2 of the systems are cashing over 94%. NBA Sweeps the board and has cashed the last 4 releases. MLB has the 21-3 system Game of the Week and also has several Power Angles. MLB is on a 11-2 run. Jump on for Hump day and cash out. For the free play take Tampa Bay. -Rob Vinciletti