Cleveland Browns vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
Week 7 NFL Prediction: Jacksonville +5 (October 19th 2014)
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The Jaguars are being undervalued because they are 0-6. Cleveland is 3-2 but two of its wins have come by three points combined. Four of its games have been decided by three points or less so I can’t justify laying five points with the Browns on the road. Jacksonville defeated Cleveland 32-28 on the road last season and will draw confidence from that victory. The Browns are one of those teams that seem to play up or down to the level of their competition. They are 0-6 ATS the last two seasons versus poor defensive teams that give up 24.0 ppg or more, losing to these teams by an average of 9.2 points. Additionally, underdogs of 3.5 to 10.0 points that have been held to 14 points or less in two straight games are 31-10 ATS the last five seasons, including 19-4 ATS the last three seasons. Grab the points. Get more NFL football picks from Jeff Alexander here
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Minnesota Vikings vs. Buffalo Bills
NFL Pick: Buffalo -5.5 (October 19th 2014)
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The Vikings couldn’t get anything done offensively in last week’s 17-3 home loss to Detroit. They had only 212 yards of offense for the game. Expect Minnesota’s offensive shortcomings to haunt them once again in Buffalo. The Bills rank first against the run, eighth in scoring defense and 11th in total defense. They are also among the league leaders in sacks with 19. The Bills were kicked at home by division rival New England last week, and I expect them to be highly motivated here as a result. They are 8-1 ATS the last three seasons in home games following a loss, winning by an average score of 26.3 to 18.3 in this spot. While Minnesota has performed well defensively, it has been susceptible to the run, and I believe Buffalo will take advantage. The Bills should be able to establish the run game, which will set up some big play opportunities in the play-action passing game. The Vikings are 1-4 ATS in their last five and 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games after being held to less than 15 points in their previous game. Lay the points.
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Stanford vs. Arizona State
College Football Pick: Arizona State +3.5 (October 18th 2014)
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Motivated by four consecutive losses to Stanford and having had an extra week to prepare, Arizona State is in great position to cover the number Saturday. The Cardinal check in off a 34-17 win and cover against Washington State, but they are 0-5 ATS in their last five games following a cover. They are also 0-6 ATS since the beginning of last season following a victory of 17 points or more. It’s a known fact that having extra preparation time is a big advantage, and ASU has put its extra time to good use. Since 1992, it is 10-1 ATS in home games when playing with two weeks of rest or more and has won these contests by an average of 14.0 points. Todd Graham is one heck of a coach, and his teams are 9-1 ATS all-time as home underdogs of seven points or less. It’s also worth noting that the Sun Devils are on a 20-8 ATS run at home versus teams that have a win percentage of 60-75%. The home team is 9-3-1 ATS in the last 13 meetings. Take the points.
Dave Price’s NCAAF 7* Top Plays are an UNSTOPPABLE 15-3 (83%) this season, including a PERFECT 7-0 since Sept. 25, and he has TWO 7* Top Plays on tap Saturday – 7* MAC GAME OF THE YEAR & 7* BIG TEN GAME OF THE WEEK! He also gives you the opportunity to WATCH & WIN late with his Notre Dame/Florida State ABC National TV Annihilator!