Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angels
Prediction: Los Angeles Angels -164 betting line (July 23rd 2014)
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Wednesday MLB Free Play from Doc’s Sports Take #924 Los Angeles Angels (-164) over Baltimore Orioles (Wednesday, 10:05pm EST) Two of the top teams in the American League square off in Anaheim as the Angels host the Orioles to wrap up a three-game series on Wednesday. Chris Tillman gets the ball for the O’s against a dangerous Angels lineup. Tillman has posted some good results of late, but he’s played with fire in several games recently. Over his last 10 starts, the right-hander has a terrible 29-22 K/BB ratio in 61.2 innings. It’s tough to get by with those kinds of numbers at the major league level, and I’d be surprised if the Angels don’t capitalize. They have the most dangerous lineup in all of baseball and the numbers back it up. The O’s will battle against veteran Jered Weaver in this one. Weaver is having another solid season at 10-6 with a 3.43 ERA and 1.14 WHIP. You can always count on Weaver to give his best effort and go deep into games. And with the new additions to the bullpen in Huston Street and Joe Thatcher, the Angels have turned a weakness into a definite strength. The Halos are the much better team overall and this line feels just a touch short with them at home with the better pitcher. Take the Angels.
New York Yankees vs. Texas Rangers
Over/Under Pick: Under 7.5 runs -110 odds (July 23rd 2014)
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The Yankees bats were held silent for 12 innings before a 13th inning rally in last night’s 2-1 win over Texas, and it won’t get any easier facing Rangers ace Yu Darvish on Wednesday.
Darvish (9-5, 2.88 ERA) allowed one run on five hits, fanning a dozen over 6 2/3 innings in a win at Toronto his last time out. He hasn’t faced the Yankees this year, but he was 1-0 with a 2.31 ERA in two starts versus New York last season. Darvish doesn’t mind pitching on the road, where he is 5-2 with a 3.32 ERA in nine starts so far.
The Yankees hand the ball to David Phelps, who has filled in brilliantly with Pineda, Sabathia and Tanaka on the DL. Phelps (4-4, 3.87 ERA) allowed three runs on six hits, fanning seven over 6 1/3 innings in a 4-3 win over Cincinnati his last time out. He’s 3-1 with a 2.62 ERA in nine appearances in the Bronx (five starts).
Yu Darvish has seen the total go over just once in his last 18 starts versus teams from the AL East.
Check out AAA Sports side prediction on this game here
Pick: Boston Red Sox -105
The Red Sox laid a whooping on the Blue Jays yesterday and I think getting them as the slight underdog here is a great value play. Boston sends Jake Peavy (1-8, 4.59 ERA) to the hill, the veteran has pitched pretty well this season but has not got the run support of other pitchers like his counterpart in this game. Note that Peavey is 3-1 with a 3.19 ERA in seven career starts against the Blue Jays. Jays starter J.A Happ (7-5, 4.91 ERA) has gotten ample run support despite not pitching as well as Peavy this year; in fact, Happ hasn’t pitched a quality outing since June and has a 2-2 record with a rough 5.22 ERA in 27 innings lifetime against the Red Sox. Toronto may have won two of three against the Texas Rangers in its last series but I think it hides the fact that the team has really been struggling overall (Toronto is tied for second in the East after going 13-25 since entering play on June 7th with a six-game division lead). The Red Sox meanwhile are feeling good about themselves; a winner in eight of nine, Boston owns a 38-6 scoring advantage while batting .333 during a five-game surge that has helped pull the club out of last place in the AL East. Conversely, the Jays bats have been pretty silent since the loss of Edwin Encarnacion; also note that Toronto slugger Jose Bautista has not homered in 14 straight games and is 3 for 20 in his last six (he’s also just 4 for 20 without a homer against Peavy). Boston looks like a great bet to me as the slight underdog or even money. -AAA Sports
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Pick: Kansas City Royals -108
Tuesday MLB Free Play from Doc’s Sports Take #967 Kansas City Royals over Chicago White Sox (Tuesday, 8:10pm EST) When you stack up the Kansas City Royals against the Chicago White Sox, it’s hard not to give an edge to the Royals in every phase of the game. They have a huge advantage as far as starting rotations and bullpens go, and their defense is far better. Yet somehow the White Sox are just two games apart in the standings coming into Monday. The main reason basically comes down to plain luck. Kansas City comes in with a 10-20 record in one-run games this season – the worst mark in the AL. Meanwhile, the White Sox check in at a respectable 19-16 in their one-run contests. Close games can determine how a team’s entire season goes, and it could be what keeps the Royals from the postseason in 2014. In Tuesday’s matchup, both teams throw out mediocre starting pitchers with Bruce Chen going for Kansas City and Scott Carroll for Chicago. There’s not much of an advantage there for either team, so there’s no question the Royals should be the favorites. We could easily see the bullpens early on for both teams, and if that’s the case the Royals have the edge again. I have the line roughly 10 cents higher, so we’ll go with the road team here. Monster 10* Game of the Week Winner on Monday behind the San Francisco Giants (UNDERDOG) and more of the same coming on Super Tuesday from the doctor! -Doc’s Sports