Atlanta Hawks vs. Cleveland Cavaliers
Basketball Pick: Cleveland -4.5 (December 17th 2014)
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While the Hawks are currently sitting with the 3rd best record in the Eastern Conference at 17-7, I don’t think this team is as good as their record would indicate and has them getting too much respect on the road against the Cavaliers. Atlanta has just won just two games all season against a team with a winning record.
With this spread the books are saying that Cleveland would only be roughly a 2-point favorite on a neutral court and I’m just not buying it. Keep in mind the Hawks were a 7-point road underdog at Cleveland back on Nov. 15, a game they lost 94-127. Another big reason for the smaller spread is the Cavs are just 2-2 SU and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games.
Cleveland has won 6 straight at home and Atlanta is 5-5 on the road compared to 12-2 at at home. The Hawks are also in a tough scheduling spot, as this will be their 7th game in the last 11 days and they used a lot of energy in their 93-86 home win over Chicago on Monday.
The Cavaliers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games versus a team with a winning percentage above 60%, while the Hawks are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against a team that’s won more than 60% of their games. Take Cleveland!
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