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Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves Betting Odds & Prediction: May 29th 2016

| May 29, 2016


Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves
Betting Prediction: Atlanta -125 odds (May 29th 2016)

Tom Koehler is 0-3 (5.00 ERA) while the Marlins have lost all FIVE of his May starts…My free play is on the Atl Braves at 5:05 ET.

Julio Teheran knows all about pitching well but not having anything to show for it. He has posted a 1.17 ERA in his last seven starts, including giving up three ERs over 33.2 innings (0.80 ERA) in five starts during May. He’s allowed just six ERs in his last seven starts, posting a 45-6 KW ratio, yet Atlanta is 2-5 in those outings. However, as poor as the Braves have played this season (Atlanta is tied with Minnesota at 14-34, a MLB-worst), they’ve somehow been at their best against the Miami Marlins. The Braves are averaging just 3.2 RPG on the season but after Saturday’s 7-2 win, have averaged 5.8 RPG while going 5-0 against the Marlins.

The Marlins may have won the final SEVEN meetings between the two clubs in 2015 but Miami manager Don Mattingly told MLB’s official website, “It’s now 0-5 in 2016. It tells you you’re not playing good enough in those games to win games.” Can Miami end its woes against Atlanta up against Teheran, with Tom Koehler (2-5, 4.79 ERA) getting the nod? He was roughed up for six runs (five earned) on nine hits in 3.2 innings of a 6-4 loss to Atlanta back on April 16. Koehler comes in 0-3 with a 5.00 ERA while the Marlins have lost all FIVE of his May starts. He has struggled mightily with his control, issuing five walks in each of his last three starts.

Getting back to Teheran, yes he’s 1-4 on the season with Atlanta going 2-8 in his 10 starts. However, he owns a 2.57 ERA, 1.03 WHIP (just 48 hits allowed in 63 innings) with opponents batting only .206 against him. Teheran is 5-2 with a 2.71 ERA in 12 career starts against Miami (Braves are 8-4), while Koehler is 2-5 in 11 career starts vs the Braves (teams are 3-8), posting a 4.24. Yes, the Braves are 0-6 in Teheran’s six home starts this season but that’s after going 35-14 (.714) in his home starts the last three seasons (2013-15).

Braves get the sweep and Teheran picks up a much-deserved “W.”

Al McMordie betting the Washington Nationals -128 odds on May 28th 2016

| May 28, 2016

CARDINALS VS. NATIONALS BETTINGSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationals
MLB Betting Pick: Washington -128 odds (May 28th 2016)

At 7:15 pm, our complimentary selection is on the Washington Nationals over the St. Louis Cardinals. The Washington Nationals “dynamic duo” of RH starters Max Scherzer (and his 20-strikeout performance) and Stephen Strasburg (and his big, new contract extension) have been getting a lot of attention this season – and rightfully so. Flying way under the radar of those two however – and likely very happy about it – is southpaw veteran Gio Gonzalez. The former Oakland Athletic is having his best season since joining the Nats, with a 2.87 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, and 3.62 K:BB ratio in nine starts. Now if only the wins could come more frequently, then Gonzalez would be having a Cy Young-caliber first half. Gonzalez will get start number 10 tonight against a Cards team which he is 2-1 with a 1.54 ERA and 1.08 WHIP in five career starts covering 35 innings. RH Adam Wainwright’s comeback season isn’t going as planned. The veteran and former ace of the Cardinals’ staff is just 4-3 with a 5.77 ERA and 1.54 WHIP in 10 starts so far. With the exception of his first season in which he appeared in just two games, those are by far the worst numbers in Wainwright’s decade-plus in the Majors. The Nats are 23-9 in Gonzalez’s last 32 starts vs. teams from the NL Central. Take DC. As always, good luck…Al McMordie.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Indians Baseball Pick from Larry Ness: May 28th 2016

| May 28, 2016


Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Indians
MLB Baseball Pick: Cleveland -153 odds (May 28th 2016)

Jimenez owns a 7.02 ERA in three 2016 road starts, while Salazar has a 1.23 ERA in three home starts…My free play is on the Cle Indians at 4:10 ET.

Baltimore entered Friday’s game at Cleveland on a four-game losing streak, with the team’s slumbering offense getting held to three runs or less in five straight contests. However, Manny Machado had four of his team’s 13 hits, while Mark Trumbo moved into a tie for the major league lead with his 15th HR, as the Orioles beat the Indians 6-4. The defeat snapped a three-game Cleveland win streak and dropped the Indians to 25-21 (the Orioles check in at 27-19). The victory gives Baltimore FIVE straight wins over Cleveland but that streak will surely be tested on Saturday, as former Indian Ubaldo Jimenez (2-5, 6.04 ERA) will take the mound.

Jimenez delivered a terrific season debut (7 IP / 1 ER in a 4-2 win) and it gave the Orioles hope that he could carry last season’s late success into 2016. However, that has NOT been the case. In fact, he’s 1-5 with a 6.80 ERA in eight starts since beating Minnesota on April 7, with poor control being his biggest issue. Jimenez has walked 27 over 43.2 innings during that span, including 11 in his last three starts spanning 15 innings. He struggled again in Sunday’s 10-2 loss to the Angels, allowing six runs (five in the third inning alone) on eight hits in 5.2 innings to drop to 0-3 with a 7.02 ERA in three 2016 road starts.

This will be Jimenez’s fifth start against his former team since leaving the Indians following the 2013 season. He’s gone 1-2 with a 5.06 ERA, despite allowing just four hits over eight innings in a 4-0 victory June 28 in the most recent matchup. “It’s always a test every time you aren’t there for the team,” Jimenez told the team’s official website. “I’m the type of guy who will never lose my confidence. I always have it in my mind that things are going to change.” Cleveland counters with Danny Salazar (4-3, 2.32 ERA), who is coming off a Sunday outing in which he lasted a season-low 4.1 innings, while allowing four runs on eight hits in a 5-2 setback to Boston.

I won’t overreact to ONE bad start though, as Salazar had posted a 1.80 ERA in his first eight starts of 2016. Only three of his nine starts this season have come at home but note he’s posted a 1.23 ERA in those games, with a 24-3 KW ratio. Salazar is in a good position to rebound from his shortest start of the season given his home record plus the fact that in two career meetings with the Orioles, has posted a 2.25 ERA while walking two and striking out 14 in 12 innings. Not too hard to make a case for going against Jimenez in this one!

Orioles vs. Indians MLB Over-Under Betting Odds & Pick: May 27th 2016

| May 27, 2016


Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Indians
MLB Over-Under Pick: Over 8.5 runs -110 odds (May 27th 2016)

I’m recommending a play on the Over between the Orioles & Indians on Friday night. Cleveland has had little trouble scoring runs at home this season, averaging 5.42 rpg. In fact, they have averaged 6.5 rpg in their last 11 games, overall. I like their chances against Mike Wright. The Baltimore righty has lowered his ERA under 5.00 over his last couple of starts, but he’s not been too hot on the road this season, where he’s posted a 5.94 ERA & 1.32 WHIP in three starts. That’s not a big sample size, obviously, but it means a little more when we consider this season’s numbers follow a 2015 campaign where he finished with a 6.00 ERA & 1.83 WHIP in five road appearances. Baltimore struggled on offense against Houston this week, but I do believe they’ll right the ship enough against Trevor Bauer to aid our Over play. The right-hander has allowed 10 earned runs in 17 1/3 IP at home this season. He faced the Orioles twice last season, allowing four home runs and eight earned runs in 11 1/3 IP. 45 of Cleveland’s last 66 home games have gone over the total when they’re opposed by a right-handed starter. We mentioned the runs the Indians are putting up at home and we expect more of the same results tonight. I’m recommending a play on the Over between the Orioles & Indians on Friday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.