College Football Picks: October 20th 2012
NC State vs. Maryland
Prediction: NC State -3
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The last time NC State stepped on the field they upset then No. 3 Florida State at home 17-16. There are going to be a lot of people who jump on Maryland in this game expecting the Wolfpack to suffer a major letdown after that huge win. I don’t think that will be the case at all. NC State is coming off a bye week and I can assure you Tom O’Brien has repeatedly reminded his players that they still have a lot to prove.
Even though I’m not huge on Maryland this season, we are getting some decent value on NC State because the Terrapins come in leading the ACC Atlantic at 2-0. However, if you look close enough you know this team is overrated. Their two conference wins came against Wake Forest and Virginia, who are a combined 1-6 in conference play. This is also the same Maryland team that lost at home to a below-average Connecticut team earlier this season.
The Wolfpack feature an explosive offense that can beat you with both the run and the pass. Just a couple games ago they put up 664 yards of total offense on the road at Miami. While they ended up losing that game by a touchdown, they would have won had they not turned the ball over six times.
Maryland is okay on defense, but the key is they won’t be able to keep up offensively in this one. The Terrapins are extremely one-dimensional. They are 118th in the country in rushing, averaging just 71.3 ypg. That is down right pathetic. They aren’t much better throwing the ball, as they rank 95th in passing offense at 196.2 ypg.
Even if the Terrapins defense is able to hold NC State’s offense in check, I still think they come away from this game with at least 24 points. It might not seem like much, but it’s enough to cover this small spread. BET NC STATE SATURDAY!
Category: Football Picks