Freddy Wills’ MLB Pick: Braves vs. Mets Betting Prediction: August 21st 2013

| August 20, 2013


Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets
MLB Prediction: Atlanta Braves -141 odds (August 21st 2013)

Alex Wood has posted some strong numbers thus far this season and he has even stronger numbers of late with a 0.65 WHIP and a 0.98 ERA in his last 3 starts combined. Wood however has great raw stats with 9.93 K/9 and just 2.44 BB’s per 9 for a 2.51 xFIP over 50+ innings of work. Wood goes up against the Mets who struggle offensively scoring 1.36 runs per 9 less than the Braves are vs. LHP. The Braves also face a lefty on Wednesday in Jonathan Niese.

Niese is making just his third start off the DL and it’s his second start in a row on 4 days rest which is hard to figure when he just came off a game where he threw 111 pitches which is a lot for him. Niese has been awful vs. the Braves as they post a .852 OPS against him in 168 AB. He’s allowed 10 ER and a WHIP just under 3.00 in two starts this year. Mets have not played well at home all year especially when they are under dogs going 17-43 in their last 60 as a +110 to +150 under dog.

Notable Hot Starters L3 GS:
Zack Greinke (3-0, 20 IP, 1.15 WHIP, 0.90 ERA)
Anibal Sanchez
Derek Holland
A.J. Griffin

Notable Cold Starters L3 GS:
Jake Westbrook (0-3, 16.2 IP, 1.74 WHIP, 8.10 ERA)
Jeremy Hellickson (1-2, 13IP, 1.83 WHIP, 7.90 ERA)
Mike Leake (2-1, 17 IP, 1.76 WHIP, 6.35 ERA)
Barry Zito (1-2, 10 IP, 2.20 WHIP, 9.90 ERA)
Jerome Williams (0-3, 15.1 IP, 1.50 WHIP, 7.04 ERA)

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