Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants
MLB Prediction: San Francisco -123 odds (September 10th 2013)
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The Rockies’ starting pitcher tonight is making a case for the NL Cy Young Award, but he has struggled mightily in this position in the past.
The home sides’ starter is coming off a stinker, but has dominated the visitors throughout his career.
When the smoke clears at the end of the night, I believe Ryan Vogelsong and the Giants will find a way to get the job done.
Jorge De La Rosa (16-6, 3.31 ERA)
De La Rosa gave up two earned runs off six hits with one walk while striking out four over six innings and Colorado would go on to beat the Dodgers 7-5 on Wednesday.
De La Rosa has won six straight now. If he’s had one slight weakness this season though, I guess you’d have to target his road record, 6-5 with a 3.86 ERA. Obviously still very respectable, but compared to his 10-1, 2.76 ERA home mark, it does seem pretty pedestrian.
Ryan Vogelsong (3-5, 5.62 ERA)
Vogelsong isn’t coming off his best outing, giving up four earned runs off eight hits and three walks while striking out three over just 4 2/3’s innings in his team’s eventual 4-2 setback to the Diamondbacks on Thursday.
Vogelsong has now traded good performances with bad in four straight outings.
The Bottom Line
Despite his recent dominance, note the De La Rosa is just 1-1 with a 4.76 ERA in three matchups vs. the Giants this year. He’s also 0-3 with a ballooned 6.32 ERA over his last three at AT&T.
And note, despite his recent poor outing, Vogelsong is 1-1 with a 3.57 ERA in his six starts since returning to the rotation and a near perfect 5-1 with a tiny 2.40 ERA in seven career starts vs. Colorado.
In fact the Giants’ right-hander is 3-0 with a minuscule 0.64 ERA in four career home starts vs. the Rockies.
Colorado has been brutal overall of late falling to 0-4 on its nine game road trip in yesterday’s 3-2 loss. The Rockies have totaled just eight runs while batting a meagre .195 during the slide.
When you add it all up, I definitely feel that the numbers all point to the home side as being the prudent wager in this particular matchup. Consider a second look at the Giants tonight.
Good luck, Nick Parsons
Category: Baseball Picks