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Stanford vs. UCLA College Football Prediction: November 30th 2012

November 30th, 2012

College Football Picks: November 30th 2012
Stanford vs. UCLA
Prediction: Stanford -8
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The Pac-12 Championship involves two teams that recently played six days ago. UCLA (9-3 SU, 7-5 ATS) comes into this game looking for revenge after Stanford (10-2 SU, 8-4 ATS) defeated them at home last week. The winner goes to the Rose Bowl. UCLA travels to Palo Alto, Ca to face the Cardinal at Stanford Stadium. Last game: Stanford (-2’) over UCLA, 35-17.

Odds: The oddsmakers have installed Stanford as a 8-point favorite. The total is 44 in most books.

Line Movement: Stanford opened as a 10.5-point favorite and moved to 9 at most books. The total started at 51.5 and moved down to 44 in most books.

COLLEGE FREE PICK: Stanford. Latest trends include: Bruins are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 road games and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. Stanford is 4-0 ATS L4 in series, favorite is 4-0 ATS L4 meetings, 6-1 ATS L7 at home in series, 5-0 ATS L5 in November, 21-5-1 ATS L27 following an ATS win and 12-2 ATS L14 off BB wins

Stanford has had a great year considering they lost star QB Andrew Luck to the NFL and haven’t had the most success at that position this year. Now they are in the Pac-12 Championship game at home, despite teams with more talent (USC, Oregon) sitting this one out. Stanford did replace Josh Nunes at qb with freshman Kevin Hogan, who has led the Cardinal to wins over three ranked teams in Oregon State, Oregon and UCLA. Stanford controlled this game last week from Los Angeles, as Stepfan Taylor rushed for 142 yards and two TDs. Stanford has won eight straight at home and 19 of 20 home games. Stanford’s defense, which allows just 71ypg and 2.4ypc on the ground, is the difference here.

FREE PICK OF THE DAY:
Stanford -8 ov UCLA