Wisconsin vs. UMass
Pick: UMass +45 -110 odds (August 31st 2013)
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The UMass Minutemen are simply catching too many points Saturday against a Wisconsin team that will have a hard time scoring 45 points, which will make it difficult to cover this 45-point spread. Sure, Wisconsin has won 17 straight home openers at Camp Randall, but they have only come by an average of 19 points/game. The Badgers barely escaped with a 26-21 win in their home opener against Northern Iowa last year despite being a 40-point favorite. This is an offense that only put up 29.6 points and 393 total yards per game last year, and now it loses leading rusher Montee Ball (1,830 yards, 22 TD). The defense loses five of its top eight tacklers, including Mike Taylor (123 tackles, 15 for loss) and Devin Smith (57 tackles, 4 INT). While UMass was 1-11 last year, only two of its losses came by more than this margin of 45 points. Take UMass and the points.
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Category: Football Picks